Bài học quan trọng nhất từ Đại dịch 'Cúm Tây Ban Nha' năm 1918

đó là chính sách ngăn chặn (phong tỏa) đã thất bại,

kể cả khi đó chuẩn bị thế chiến 1, quân đội/binh sĩ/doanh trại kỷ luật vẫn ko thành công được,

thì giờ là thời bình, đòi hỏi người dân tuân thủ -> cực khó...
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Containment — the attempt to limit spread of a virus and even eliminate it — has failed.

...this raises another issue: compliance (tuân thủ). The need for early intervention (biện pháp can thiệp sớm) was well known in 1918. The Army surgeon general demanded “influenza be kept out” of the basic-training camps (trại huấn luyện), where new soldiers (tân binh) were being prepared to fight in World War I. “Epidemics of the disease can often be prevented,” he said, “but once established they cannot well be stopped.” He barred civilians from the camps and ordered that soldiers entering them be quarantined, soldiers showing symptoms be isolated and whole units quarantined if several soldiers were ill. Of 120 camps, 99 imposed those measures.

...For interventions to work, people have to comply and they have to sustain that compliance; most of that depends on voluntary efforts (nỗ lực tự nguyện) and individual behavior (hành xử cá nhân). Army camps in wartime (thời chiến) failed to sustain compliance, so it will be an enormous challenge for civilian communities (cộng đồng dân sự) in peacetime (thời bình) to do so. At the height of the H1N1 outbreak, Mexico City urged mask usage on public transit and distributed free masks. Usage peaked at 65 percent; 10 days later it was at 10 percent.

Tags: health

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